Edition for Wednesday, November 4, 2026

Tech Rebounds to Lift the S&P 500 by 0.3% on Wednesday, November 4, 2026

We put the odds of a green S&P 500 close at 56% as chip demand outweighs healthcare earnings drag on Wednesday, November 4, 2026.

Our call:Markets should go up·58% chance we're right·confidence 68/100

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Opening Bell

SPX

+0.28%

↑ 54%

NDX

+0.58%

↑ 57%

DJI

+0.08%

↑ 51%

RUT

+0.22%

↑ 52%

VIX

-2.10%

↑ 47%

DXY

+0.02%

↑ 50%

The Editorial

Tech Rebounds to Lift the S&P 500 by 0.3% on Wednesday, November 4, 2026

We put the probability of a green S&P 500 close at 56% as hardware demand offsets medical care cost pressures on Wednesday, November 4, 2026.