Biggest Movers

Predicted for tomorrow

Top 10

Most Likely Winners

  1. 1.Oracle (ORCL) will see its stock rise by at least 5% following its earnings report.

    Oracle's report after the close will show strong cloud growth and a positive outlook, particularly around AI capabilities.

    Why it matters: This surge indicates strong confidence in Oracle's cloud strategy and AI infrastructure investments, potentially lifting sentiment for the entire enterprise software market.

    64%
  2. 2.Adobe (ADBE) shares will gain at least 2% after reporting earnings.

    Adobe's Q4 guidance is expected to be solid, driven by subscription growth and AI features in its core products.

    Why it matters: A strong performance from Adobe reinforces the narrative of robust software demand across creative and enterprise segments, benefiting the wider tech sector.

    61%
  3. 3.The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) will increase by at least 0.7%.

    Strong earnings from Oracle and Adobe will provide a significant tailwind for the entire technology sector.

    Why it matters: Outperformance by the technology sector ETF signals continued leadership from growth stocks, suggesting investors are favoring companies with strong earnings and innovation.

    63%

Top 10

Most Likely Losers

  1. 1.The Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) will close down at least 0.5%.

    As equities rise and yields firm, defensive sectors like utilities become less attractive to investors.

    Why it matters: A decline in utilities suggests a rotation out of defensive sectors as investors gain confidence in growth-oriented assets, indicating higher risk appetite.

    54%
  2. 2.The iShares US Real Estate ETF (IYR) will fall by at least 0.4%.

    Higher Treasury yields often put pressure on interest-rate sensitive sectors such as real estate.

    Why it matters: A dip in real estate could reflect concerns about rising interest rates impacting property valuations and mortgage costs, potentially signaling headwinds for the sector.

    51%
  3. 3.Shares of First Solar (FSLR) will experience a modest decline of 1% or more.

    Rising input costs and potential policy uncertainty could weigh on solar names despite broader market strength.

    Why it matters: A downturn in solar stocks could indicate sector-specific concerns, such as project delays or increased competition, or broader profit-taking in renewable energy.

    52%

Widest expected range

Most Volatile

  1. 1.Oracle (ORCL) shares will trade with an intraday range of at least 7%.

    Earnings reports for major tech companies like Oracle often result in significant price swings as investors digest results and forward guidance.

    Why it matters: Such high volatility for a mega-cap tech stock after earnings indicates strong market reaction and diverging views on its future growth trajectory, attracting significant trading interest.

    68%
  2. 2.Adobe (ADBE) shares will experience an intraday high-low spread exceeding 5%.

    Adobe's report will create strong directional moves, leading to wider intraday trading ranges as positions are adjusted.

    Why it matters: This level of volatility suggests active re-pricing by investors as they assess the implications of Adobe's guidance for its competitive position in creative and enterprise software.

    64%
  3. 3.Shares of RLGT Resources (RLGT) will see an intraday price swing of at least 8% on unspecified earnings.

    Smaller companies with unspecified earnings times often see exaggerated moves due to limited liquidity and information asymmetry once news breaks.

    Why it matters: High volatility for smaller companies reporting earnings without clear pre-announcement or specific catalysts highlights the binary nature of these events for micro-cap stocks, making them high-risk, high-reward plays.

    61%

Low base rate, high tail

Surprise Opportunities

  1. 1.The US Dollar Index (DXY) will close below 104.50.

    While a mild dip is expected, a sharper move would require a larger-than-expected flight to risk or dovish shift in rate expectations.

    Why it matters: A significant drop in the dollar would signal a shift in global risk sentiment or unexpected weakness in US economic data, potentially boosting commodities and foreign equities.

    36%
  2. 2.The VIX will unexpectedly rise by more than 5%.

    Despite the bullish outlook, an unexpected negative headline could quickly reverse sentiment and drive up volatility.

    Why it matters: A sudden VIX spike would indicate a material increase in market fear, likely triggered by an unforeseen geopolitical event or a major macro data miss, halting the equity rally.

    33%
  3. 3.Tenon Medical (TEN) will surprise with an earnings beat and positive guidance, sending shares up 15%.

    Tenon Medical operates in a specialized medical device market, making significant surprises possible on new product traction.

    Why it matters: A large positive surprise from a small medical device company would highlight potential innovation and growth pockets outside mega-cap tech, rewarding investors who seek out niche opportunities.

    29%

Model disagreement

Highest Uncertainty

  1. 1.Flowserve (FLS) shares will move less than 1% in either direction after its earnings.

    Flowserve's results are generally stable, and analysts are well-calibrated to its performance, leading to limited price action.

    Why it matters: A muted reaction suggests that Flowserve's results are largely in line with expectations, offering little new information for investors and maintaining its current valuation.

    47%
  2. 2.The price of Gold (GC) will remain within a $10 range of its opening price for the session.

    With a slightly firmer dollar and marginally higher yields, gold's drivers are largely offsetting for the session.

    Why it matters: Limited movement in gold suggests that macro factors like inflation expectations and real yields are balanced, and there's no strong directional catalyst for safe-haven flows.

    50%
  3. 3.Shares of MCFT Inc. (MCFT) will show minimal reaction to its pre-market earnings report.

    MCFT is a smaller company where earnings are often already priced in unless there's a significant surprise.

    Why it matters: A flat response to MCFT's earnings suggests its performance aligns with current market expectations, providing no new impetus for investors to change their positions.

    54%