Top 15 Predictions

Ranked by conviction

  1. 01

    Oracle (ORCL) shares will open up at least 5% on Thursday.

    Oracle's earnings beat and optimistic guidance on cloud growth, especially in AI-related infrastructure, will be well-received by the market.

    Why it matters: This signals robust enterprise spending on cloud infrastructure and AI, potentially lifting other software and cloud service providers.

    64%

  2. 02

    Adobe (ADBE) will forecast Q4 revenue above analyst consensus.

    Adobe's strong position in creative and experience cloud solutions, coupled with AI integration, should support an upbeat outlook.

    Why it matters: Strong Adobe guidance reinforces the theme of resilient enterprise software spending and boosts confidence in the overall tech sector's outlook.

    61%

  3. 03

    The Nasdaq 100 will close above its 50-day moving average.

    Positive momentum from Oracle's earnings and broader tech strength will push the index higher, reinforcing its uptrend.

    Why it matters: This indicates a strengthening technical trend for growth stocks, attracting more institutional capital and potentially extending the market rally.

    61%

  4. 04

    Shares of Workday (WDAY) will rise at least 1.5% on Thursday.

    Oracle's strong cloud performance implies healthy enterprise software demand, benefitting peers like Workday.

    Why it matters: A positive reaction to Oracle's cloud numbers often spills over to other enterprise software companies, suggesting broad strength in business IT budgets.

    57%

  5. 05

    The S&P 500 Technology sector will outperform the broader S&P 500 by at least 0.3%.

    Oracle's results will disproportionately boost the technology sector, causing it to lead the broader market higher.

    Why it matters: This confirms that technology remains the leading sector, with strong earnings and growth prospects driving market performance.

    63%

  6. 06

    The yield on the US 10-Year Treasury will rise by at least 2 basis points.

    Improved equity market sentiment and anticipation of strong PPI data will push bond yields marginally higher.

    Why it matters: A slight increase in yields can reflect optimism about economic growth, but if too rapid, it could create headwinds for growth stocks in the coming days.

    56%

  7. 07

    Shares of Salesforce (CRM) will trade up by at least 1%.

    Oracle's strength in enterprise cloud will suggest a favorable environment for other major cloud providers like Salesforce.

    Why it matters: Positive sentiment for Oracle's cloud services typically indicates a strong market for business applications, which is a tailwind for Salesforce.

    55%

  8. 08

    The Russell 2000 will finish the session in positive territory.

    General risk-on sentiment from tech strength will provide a mild lift to smaller companies, even without specific catalysts.

    Why it matters: A green close for small caps would signal improving investor confidence beyond just mega-cap tech, suggesting broader market participation.

    54%

  9. 09

    The price of WTI Crude Oil (CL) will trade above $78 per barrel at close.

    Persistent geopolitical tensions and stable demand forecasts will keep crude prices firm.

    Why it matters: This indicates ongoing demand strength and geopolitical supply concerns, which could support energy stocks but also raise inflation concerns.

    51%

  10. 10

    The US Dollar Index (DXY) will trade below 104.80 by the end of the session.

    Improved risk sentiment due to tech strength will lead to a modest retreat in the safe-haven dollar.

    Why it matters: A slightly weaker dollar can be supportive for commodities and US multinational earnings, easing cost pressures for global operations.

    54%

  11. 11

    Copart (CPRT) will report better-than-expected revenue for Q4.

    Copart's business benefits from increased vehicle sales and insurance claims, supporting a revenue beat.

    Why it matters: Strong revenue for Copart suggests continued activity in the used vehicle market and insurance sector, indicating underlying economic stability.

    58%

  12. 12

    Shares of Flowserve (FLS) will close higher after its earnings report.

    Flowserve's diversified industrial client base should allow it to report stable results, leading to a modest positive market reaction.

    Why it matters: A positive reaction to Flowserve's results could signal healthy capital expenditure by industrial clients, indicating business investment is holding up.

    56%

  13. 13

    LOVE SACS (LOVE) will report Q2 EPS above consensus estimates.

    LOVE SACS has a history of meeting or exceeding expectations due to consistent brand appeal.

    Why it matters: A beat from LOVE SACS indicates resilient consumer spending in niche retail, suggesting parts of the discretionary sector are still performing well.

    57%

  14. 14

    The Energy sector will end the day with a gain of at least 0.5%.

    Stable oil prices and a generally bullish market tone will give energy stocks a modest lift.

    Why it matters: An upturn in energy stocks, supported by higher oil prices, can indicate confidence in global economic activity and provide diversification from tech.

    54%

  15. 15

    IBEX Holdings (IBEX) will report Q4 earnings per share (EPS) that meets or exceeds analyst expectations.

    IBEX has shown consistent execution in its BPO services, making an in-line or beat on EPS likely.

    Why it matters: A solid performance from IBEX suggests stable demand for business process outsourcing and customer engagement services, indicating corporate confidence.

    61%

Expected Moves at Tomorrow's Open

How much each asset is expected to rise or fall from today's close to tomorrow's open

AssetExpected↑ Prob↓ ProbRangeConf.Biggest RiskBiggest Tailwind

S&P 500

SPX

+0.40%
56%
44%7618.99 / 7714.8275Softer Oracle guidanceRobust enterprise tech spending

Nasdaq 100

NDX

+0.60%
57%
43%29427.89 / 29768.2777Disappointing Oracle cloud growthStrong Oracle AI infrastructure comments

Dow

DJI

+0.30%
55%
45%52143.77 / 52931.8470Negative reaction to Oracle resultsBroad market improvement from tech strength

Russell 2000

RUT

+0.20%
53%
47%2901.46 / 2952.6965Yields moving higher on tech strengthGeneral uplift in risk sentiment

VIX

VIX

-2.50%
41%
59%15.93 / 16.1770Unexpected macro headlineOrderly market close higher

Dollar

DXY

-0.10%
47%
53%97.74 / 99.7160Stronger than expected PPI dataImproved risk appetite

10Y Treasury Yield

US10Y

+0.50%
53%
47%4.82 / 4.9065Weak PPI dataStronger equity market perception

Oil

CL

+0.50%
51%
49%96.20 / 98.3955Unexpected inventory buildOngoing tight supply narrative

Gold

GC

-0.30%
49%
51%4381.78 / 4474.7758Weaker dollarStronger yields

Silver

SI

-0.40%
48%
52%66.85 / 68.3157Weaker dollarStronger yields

Bitcoin

BTC

+0.30%
51%
49%77645.39 / 79412.2855Risk-off sentiment after OracleGeneral risk-on market tone

Ethereum

ETH

+0.40%
51%
49%2452.32 / 2508.1255Risk-off sentiment after OracleGeneral risk-on market tone

Natural Gas

NG

-0.80%
47%
53%2.76 / 2.8160Unexpected weather eventContinued mild weather outlook

Sector Heatmap

Bullish probability by sector

Each tile shows the model's estimated probability that the sector finishes tomorrow's session green. Color intensity scales with the distance from a coin-flip.

Technology

68%

Bullish tilt

Financials

55%

Bullish tilt

Energy

52%

Bullish tilt

Healthcare

58%

Bullish tilt

Utilities

45%

Bearish tilt

Consumer Discretionary

60%

Bullish tilt

Consumer Staples

53%

Bullish tilt

Industrials

57%

Bullish tilt

Communication Services

65%

Bullish tilt

Materials

50%

Bullish tilt

Real Estate

48%

Bearish tilt