Edition for Monday, August 3, 2026

Yield Curve Inversion Deepens Ahead of Manufacturing Data

The persistent inversion of the two-year to ten-year Treasury yield curve will continue to weigh on equity sentiment as upcoming manufacturing PMIs confirm decelerating growth, pushing the S&P 500 lower on Monday.

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Opening Bell

SPX

-0.80%

↑ 30%

NDX

-0.70%

↑ 35%

DJI

-0.90%

↑ 30%

RUT

-1.20%

↑ 25%

VIX

+3.50%

↑ 70%

DXY

+0.30%

↑ 60%

The Editorial

Bond Market Sends a Clearer Recession Signal

The persistent and deepening inversion of the Treasury yield curve, particularly the 2-year to 10-year spread, will amplify market concerns ahead of crucial manufacturing data, leading to a negative session for equities on Monday.