S&P 500 Drifts Up 0.2% on Friday, November 13, 2026

We said

SPX up 0.22% (53% odds it rises)

What happened

SPX fell 0.40%, closing at 7561.67. We called the wrong direction.

Result -0.41% @ 7561.67

We said

NDX up 0.35% (54% odds it rises)

What happened

NDX fell 1.22%, closing at 27943.74. We called the wrong direction.

Result -1.22% @ 27943.74

We said

DJI up 0.12% (51% odds it rises)

What happened

DJI rose 0.10%, closing at 52347.55. Right direction, off by 0.02 percentage points on size.

Result +0.10% @ 52347.55

We said

RUT up 0.08% (51% odds it rises)

What happened

RUT fell 0.31%, closing at 2790.41. We called the wrong direction.

Result -0.31% @ 2790.41

We said

VIX down 1.20% (48% odds it rises)

What happened

VIX rose 0.59%, closing at 18.81. We called the wrong direction.

Result +0.59% @ 18.81

We said

DXY up 0.02% (50% odds it rises)

What happened

DXY rose 0.20%, closing at 103.37. Right direction, off by 0.18 percentage points on size.

Result +0.20% @ 103.37

We said

US10Y down 0.15% (49% odds it rises)

What happened

US10Y rose 1.00%, closing at 5.15. We called the wrong direction.

Result +1.00% @ 5.15

We said

CL down 0.45% (49% odds it rises)

What happened

CL rose 0.39%, closing at 89.09. We called the wrong direction.

Result +0.39% @ 89.09

We said

GC up 0.25% (51% odds it rises)

What happened

GC fell 0.13%, closing at 3880.10. We called the wrong direction.

Result -0.13% @ 3880.10

We said

SI up 0.30% (51% odds it rises)

What happened

SI fell 2.60%, closing at 48.67. We called the wrong direction.

Result -2.60% @ 48.67

We said

BTC up 0.40% (51% odds it rises)

What happened

BTC fell 3.97%, closing at 68509.14. We called the wrong direction.

Result -3.97% @ 68509.14

We said

ETH up 0.10% (50% odds it rises)

What happened

ETH fell 3.98%, closing at 1936.55. We called the wrong direction.

Result -3.98% @ 1936.55

We said

NG up 0.85% (52% odds it rises)

What happened

NG fell 2.93%, closing at 3.24. We called the wrong direction.

Result -2.93% @ 3.24

We said

Buy MSFT at 523, take profit 551.4, cut it at 501.16

What happened

MSFT traded 513.82–526.42 and closed 523.88. Neither the take-profit nor the exit was hit; holding to the close was a gain of +0.17%.

Result +0.17% @ 523.88

We said

Buy AVGO at 364.36, take profit 395.4, cut it at 340.49

What happened

AVGO traded 337.67–358.47 and closed 347.01. It hit our 340.49 exit first — the trade lost -6.55%.

Result -6.55% @ 347.01

We said

Buy LLY at 1427.28, take profit 1509.35, cut it at 1364.12

What happened

LLY traded 1419.81–1449.64 and closed 1445.40. Neither the take-profit nor the exit was hit; holding to the close was a gain of +1.27%.

Result +1.27% @ 1445.40

We said

Buy IBM at 244.67, take profit 255.17, cut it at 236.6

What happened

IBM traded 244.83–247.85 and closed 247.11. The price never reached our 244.67 entry, so there was no trade to win or lose.

Result 0.00% @ 247.11

We said

Buy CSCO at 102.01, take profit 108.53, cut it at 97

What happened

CSCO traded 95.26–100.75 and closed 95.64. It hit our 97 exit first — the trade lost -4.91%.

Result -4.91% @ 95.64

We said

Buy AMZN at 267.44, take profit 284.61, cut it at 254.24

What happened

AMZN traded 263.91–269.94 and closed 266.66. Neither the take-profit nor the exit was hit; holding to the close was a loss of -0.29%.

Result -0.29% @ 266.66

We said

Buy JPM at 342.82, take profit 355.57, cut it at 333.01

What happened

JPM traded 342.79–346.80 and closed 346.49. Neither the take-profit nor the exit was hit; holding to the close was a gain of +1.07%.

Result +1.07% @ 346.49

We said

Short OXY at 58.4, take profit 55.35, cut it at 60.74

What happened

OXY traded 58.15–59.03 and closed 58.76. Neither the take-profit nor the exit was hit; holding to the close was a loss of -0.62%.

Result -0.62% @ 58.76

We said

Short CSIQ at 10.04, take profit 8.84, cut it at 11.04

What happened

CSIQ traded 9.55–10.04 and closed 9.88. The price never reached our 10.04 entry, so there was no trade to win or lose.

Result 0.00% @ 9.88

We said

Buy GOOGL at 298.7, take profit 317.28, cut it at 284.4

What happened

GOOGL traded 293.44–304.97 and closed 295.77. Neither the take-profit nor the exit was hit; holding to the close was a loss of -0.98%.

Result -0.98% @ 295.77

We said

Eli Lilly (LLY) will close up at least 0.6% on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Amazon (AMZN) will outperform the S&P 500 on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Marathon Oil (MRO) will finish in the red on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

We said MRO would be a loser. It closed 0.00% while the S&P 500 did -0.40%.

Result 0.00%

We said

Occidental Petroleum (OXY) will underperform the broader market on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

We said OXY would be a loser. It closed +0.62% while the S&P 500 did -0.40%.

Result +0.62% @ 58.76

We said

Plug Power (PLUG) will decline by at least 1.5% on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

We said PLUG would be a loser. It closed -10.48% while the S&P 500 did -0.40%.

Result -10.48% @ 1.11

We said

Canadian Solar (CSIQ) will close down on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

We said CSIQ would be a loser. It closed -1.59% while the S&P 500 did -0.40%.

Result -1.59% @ 9.88

We said

Noodles & Co (NDLS) will lag the Russell 2000 index on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

We said NDLS would be a loser. It closed -11.64% while the S&P 500 did -0.40%.

Result -11.64% @ 12.15

We said

The Utilities sector will finish as one of the top four S&P 500 sectors on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Gold (GC) will rise even if the US Dollar Index remains flat on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Regional bank stocks will outperform money-center lenders on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Apple (AAPL) will close within a 1.0% range of its open on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Microsoft (MSFT) will close up at least 0.5% on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Broadcom (AVGO) will close up at least 1.0% on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

IBM (IBM) will close green on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Nvidia (NVDA) will avoid a decline worse than 1.5% on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Cisco Systems (CSCO) will close up at least 0.4% on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Applied Materials (AMAT) will finish down less than 1.0% on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Alphabet (GOOGL) will close green on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Exxon Mobil (XOM) will underperform the S&P 500 on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

JPMorgan Chase (JPM) will close up at least 0.3% on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Noodles & Co (NDLS) will post an absolute price move greater than 3.0% on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Owlet (OWLT) will trade with daily volume at least 50% above its 30-day average on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

The 10-year Treasury yield will remain below 4.50% on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Crude Oil (CL) will hold above its recent weekly low on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

The Russell 2000 index will close higher than the Dow Jones Industrial Average on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Ethereum (ETH) will close higher against the US Dollar on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Owlet (OWLT) will trade with an intraday high-to-low range of at least 6.0% on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

We said OWLT would swing hard (3%+). It moved -26.41%.

Result -26.41% @ 3.40

We said

Beam Global (BEEM) will swing more than 4.0% between its session high and low on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

We said BEEM would swing hard (3%+). It moved -0.26%.

Result -0.27% @ 0.68

We said

Century Casinos (CNTY) will record an intraday price spread wider than 5.0% on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

We said CNTY would swing hard (3%+). It moved -20.02%.

Result -20.02% @ 0.48

We said

Boxlight (BOXL) will trade with volatility exceeding twice the Russell 2000 average on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

We said BOXL would swing hard (3%+). It moved -2.62%.

Result -2.62% @ 1.86

We said

Natural Gas (NG) futures will swing in an intraday range wider than 2.5% on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

We said NG would swing hard (3%+). It moved -2.93%.

Result -2.93% @ 3.24

We said

Broadcom (AVGO) will rank among the top-performing semiconductor stocks on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

We said AVGO would be a winner. It closed -4.76% while the S&P 500 did -0.40%.

Result -4.76% @ 347.01

We said

Eli Lilly (LLY) will outgain the S&P 500 healthcare sector on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

We said LLY would be a winner. It closed +1.27% while the S&P 500 did -0.40%.

Result +1.27% @ 1445.40

We said

IBM (IBM) will outperform the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

We said IBM would be a winner. It closed +1.00% while the S&P 500 did -0.40%.

Result +1.00% @ 247.11

We said

Cisco Systems (CSCO) will post a positive return on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

We said CSCO would be a winner. It closed -6.24% while the S&P 500 did -0.40%.

Result -6.24% @ 95.64

We said

Microsoft (MSFT) will add at least $10 billion in market value on Friday, November 13, 2026.

What happened

We said MSFT would be a winner. It closed +0.17% while the S&P 500 did -0.40%.

Result +0.17% @ 523.88

We said

Housing pushes the market down

What happened

The S&P 500 finished down -0.40%. That matched the call.

We said

Fed pushes the market either way

What happened

The S&P 500 finished down -0.40%. The day was too flat to call this either way.

We said

Treasuries pushes the market up

What happened

The S&P 500 finished down -0.40%. That went against the call.

We said

AI pushes the market up

What happened

The S&P 500 finished down -0.40%. That went against the call.

We said

Consumer pushes the market either way

What happened

The S&P 500 finished down -0.40%. The day was too flat to call this either way.

We said

Inflation pushes the market up

What happened

The S&P 500 finished down -0.40%. That went against the call.

We said

Oil pushes the market down

What happened

The S&P 500 finished down -0.40%. That matched the call.

We said

Employment pushes the market either way

What happened

The S&P 500 finished down -0.40%. The day was too flat to call this either way.

We said

China pushes the market either way

What happened

The S&P 500 finished down -0.40%. The day was too flat to call this either way.

We said

Middle East pushes the market either way

What happened

The S&P 500 finished down -0.40%. The day was too flat to call this either way.

We said

MRO: we said beat (68% odds of a beat)

What happened

MRO came in in line with expectations (0.64 vs 0.6389 expected). We said beat.

We said

BASE: we said beat (67% odds of a beat)

What happened

BASE came in above expectations (-0.02 vs -0.0664 expected). We said beat.

We said

CNTY: we said beat (63% odds of a beat)

What happened

CNTY came in below expectations (-0.39 vs -0.3403 expected). We said beat.

We said

NDLS: we said beat (62% odds of a beat)

What happened

NDLS came in above expectations (-0.04 vs -0.2142 expected). We said beat.

We said

OWLT: we said beat (64% odds of a beat)

What happened

OWLT came in above expectations (0.11 vs -0.0442 expected). We said beat.

We said

AIRE: we said beat (62% odds of a beat)

What happened

AIRE came in above expectations (-0.57 vs -0.765 expected). We said beat.

We said

BEEM: we said beat (62% odds of a beat)

What happened

BEEM came in above expectations (-0.14 vs -0.2074 expected). We said beat.

We said

BFRI: we said beat (61% odds of a beat)

What happened

BFRI came in above expectations (-0.05 vs -0.1071 expected). We said beat.

We said

BOXL: we said beat (61% odds of a beat)

What happened

BOXL came in above expectations (0.34 vs -20.5632 expected). We said beat.

We said

EIC: we said beat (65% odds of a beat)

What happened

EIC came in above expectations (0.73 vs 0.3165 expected). We said beat.

We said

FSI: we said beat (63% odds of a beat)

What happened

FSI came in below expectations (-0.15 vs 0.0606 expected). We said beat.

We said

MSS: we said beat (60% odds of a beat)

What happened

MSS came in below expectations (-10.5 vs 1.01 expected). We said beat.

We said

RENX: we said beat (61% odds of a beat)

What happened

RENX came in below expectations (-2.14 vs -1.6932 expected). We said beat.

We said

RMIX: we said beat (62% odds of a beat)

What happened

RMIX came in below expectations (-0.01 vs 0.085 expected). We said beat.

We said

SBC: we said beat (65% odds of a beat)

What happened

SBC came in above expectations (0.15 vs 0.1131 expected). We said beat.

We said

ZSTK: we said beat (61% odds of a beat)

What happened

ZSTK came in below expectations (-2.47 vs -0.1122 expected). We said beat.

We said

NYC: we said beat (62% odds of a beat)

What happened

NYC came in in line with expectations (-3.04 vs — expected). We said beat.

We said

MIST: we said beat (62% odds of a beat)

What happened

MIST came in above expectations (-0.18 vs -0.22 expected). We said beat.