The Report Card · Tuesday, November 10, 2026
Tech Rebound Lifts S&P 500 by 0.5% on Tuesday, November 10, 2026
Enterprise hardware demand and cloud backlog give stocks a 61% chance of closing green on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
Accuracy
28%
Correct
5/18
Brier score
0.266
lower is better
We got 5 of 18 calls right on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
By Category
0/0
n/a
0/0
n/a
0/9
0% accuracy
0/0
n/a
5/9
56% accuracy
Forecasts — what we said vs. what happened
We said
DJI up 0.28% (54% odds it rises)
What happened
No closing data available, so this call could not be judged.
We said
SPX up 0.48% (57% odds it rises)
What happened
No closing data available, so this call could not be judged.
We said
NDX up 0.72% (58% odds it rises)
What happened
No closing data available, so this call could not be judged.
We said
RUT up 0.35% (52% odds it rises)
What happened
No closing data available, so this call could not be judged.
We said
VIX down 3.40% (45% odds it rises)
What happened
No closing data available, so this call could not be judged.
We said
DXY up 0.05% (51% odds it rises)
What happened
No closing data available, so this call could not be judged.
We said
US10Y down 0.30% (49% odds it rises)
What happened
No closing data available, so this call could not be judged.
We said
CL down 0.85% (48% odds it rises)
What happened
No closing data available, so this call could not be judged.
We said
GC up 0.25% (51% odds it rises)
What happened
No closing data available, so this call could not be judged.
We said
SI up 0.30% (51% odds it rises)
What happened
No closing data available, so this call could not be judged.
We said
BTC up 0.65% (52% odds it rises)
What happened
No closing data available, so this call could not be judged.
We said
ETH up 0.80% (51% odds it rises)
What happened
No closing data available, so this call could not be judged.
We said
NG up 1.20% (53% odds it rises)
What happened
No closing data available, so this call could not be judged.
Trades — what we said vs. what happened
We said
Buy AVGO at 319.48, take profit 346.25, cut it at 298.87
What happened
No closing data available, so this trade could not be judged.
We said
Buy IBM at 246.11, take profit 259.03, cut it at 236.17
What happened
No closing data available, so this trade could not be judged.
We said
Buy CEG at 276.09, take profit 298.48, cut it at 258.87
What happened
No closing data available, so this trade could not be judged.
We said
Buy MSFT at 545.18, take profit 572, cut it at 524.53
What happened
No closing data available, so this trade could not be judged.
We said
Buy TDG at 1218.85, take profit 1281.99, cut it at 1170.25
What happened
No closing data available, so this trade could not be judged.
We said
Buy NRG at 97.4, take profit 105.91, cut it at 90.85
What happened
No closing data available, so this trade could not be judged.
We said
Buy FERG at 259.93, take profit 273.84, cut it at 249.24
What happened
No closing data available, so this trade could not be judged.
We said
Buy WIX at 69.75, take profit 76.69, cut it at 64.41
What happened
No closing data available, so this trade could not be judged.
We said
Buy ONON at 37.53, take profit 40.07, cut it at 35.57
What happened
No closing data available, so this trade could not be judged.
We said
Short OXY at 55.76, take profit 52.73, cut it at 58.09
What happened
No closing data available, so this trade could not be judged.
Predictions — what we said vs. what happened
We said
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) will decline by at least 0.6% on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
What happened
We said OXY would be a loser. It closed 0.00% while the S&P 500 did 0.00%.
Result 0.00%
We said
B&G Foods (BGS) will drop by at least 1.5% following its earnings report on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
What happened
We said B would be a loser. It closed 0.00% while the S&P 500 did 0.00%.
Result 0.00%
We said
Plug Power (PLUG) will slip by at least 1.5% on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
What happened
We said PLUG would be a loser. It closed 0.00% while the S&P 500 did 0.00%.
Result 0.00%
We said
Sea Limited (SE) will announce positive net income in its e-commerce division on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
What happened
Written call — not scored automatically.
We said
On Holding (ONON) will lift its full-year 2026 revenue guidance by more than 2% on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
What happened
Written call — not scored automatically.
We said
Broadcom (AVGO) will close up at least 1.5% on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
What happened
Written call — not scored automatically.
We said
IBM (IBM) will advance at least 0.8% on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
What happened
Written call — not scored automatically.
We said
Constellation Energy (CEG) will rise at least 1.2% on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
What happened
Written call — not scored automatically.
We said
NRG Energy (NRG) will finish in positive territory on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
What happened
Written call — not scored automatically.
We said
Microsoft (MSFT) will rise by at least 0.6% on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
What happened
Written call — not scored automatically.
We said
Nvidia (NVDA) will outperform the S&P 500 index on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
What happened
Written call — not scored automatically.
We said
TransDigm Group (TDG) will beat consensus EPS estimates in its pre-market report on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
What happened
Written call — not scored automatically.
We said
Sea Limited (SE) will report third-quarter revenue above Street consensus on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
What happened
Written call — not scored automatically.
We said
Wix.com (WIX) will gain at least 1.0% following its earnings release on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
What happened
Written call — not scored automatically.
We said
Ferguson Enterprises (FERG) will close higher on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
What happened
Written call — not scored automatically.
We said
On Holding (ONON) will post double-digit direct-to-consumer sales growth on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
What happened
Written call — not scored automatically.
We said
Brookfield (BN) will show distributable earnings growth on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
What happened
Written call — not scored automatically.
We said
Occidental Petroleum (OXY) will underperform the S&P 500 on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
What happened
Written call — not scored automatically.
We said
The 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y) will stay below 4.45% on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
What happened
Written call — not scored automatically.
We said
Natural Gas (NG) front-month futures will advance on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
What happened
Written call — not scored automatically.
We said
Brookfield (BN) will report real estate funds from operations above last year's level on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
What happened
Written call — not scored automatically.
We said
Atour Lifestyle (ATAT) will guide for 20% hotel network expansion on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
What happened
Written call — not scored automatically.
We said
Sea Limited (SE) will post an absolute trading range greater than 4.5% on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
What happened
We said SE would swing hard (3%+). It moved 0.00%.
Result 0.00%
We said
CoreWeave (CRWV) will trade in a range wider than 5.0% on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
What happened
We said CRWV would swing hard (3%+). It moved 0.00%.
Result 0.00%
We said
Natural Gas (NG) front-month contracts will move more than 2.5% in either direction on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
What happened
We said NG would swing hard (3%+). It moved 0.00%.
Result 0.00%
We said
Broadcom (AVGO) will gain more than 1.5% on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
What happened
We said AVGO would be a winner. It closed 0.00% while the S&P 500 did 0.00%.
Result 0.00%
We said
Constellation Energy (CEG) will rise more than 1.2% on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
What happened
We said CEG would be a winner. It closed 0.00% while the S&P 500 did 0.00%.
Result 0.00%
We said
TransDigm Group (TDG) will climb more than 1.0% following morning earnings on Tuesday, November 10, 2026.
What happened
We said TDG would be a winner. It closed 0.00% while the S&P 500 did 0.00%.
Result 0.00%
Drivers — what we said vs. what happened
We said
AI pushes the market up
What happened
No S&P 500 data, so this could not be judged.
We said
Treasuries pushes the market up
What happened
No S&P 500 data, so this could not be judged.
We said
Fed pushes the market either way
What happened
No S&P 500 data, so this could not be judged.
We said
Consumer pushes the market either way
What happened
No S&P 500 data, so this could not be judged.
We said
Oil pushes the market down
What happened
No S&P 500 data, so this could not be judged.
We said
Inflation pushes the market either way
What happened
No S&P 500 data, so this could not be judged.
We said
Employment pushes the market up
What happened
No S&P 500 data, so this could not be judged.
We said
China pushes the market either way
What happened
No S&P 500 data, so this could not be judged.
We said
Middle East pushes the market either way
What happened
No S&P 500 data, so this could not be judged.
We said
Housing pushes the market either way
What happened
No S&P 500 data, so this could not be judged.
Earnings — what we said vs. what happened
We said
AMZE earnings on 2026-11-12: we leaned beat (64% odds of a beat)
What happened
Hasn't reported yet.
We said
SE: we said beat (71% odds of a beat)
What happened
SE came in above expectations (0.94 vs 0.8158 expected). We said beat.
We said
TDG: we said beat (74% odds of a beat)
What happened
TDG came in in line with expectations (12.44 vs 12.3286 expected). We said beat.
We said
BN: we said beat (72% odds of a beat)
What happened
BN came in below expectations (0.66 vs 0.6669 expected). We said beat.
We said
CRWV: we said beat (69% odds of a beat)
What happened
CRWV came in above expectations (-1.03 vs -1.2303 expected). We said beat.
We said
ONON: we said beat (72% odds of a beat)
What happened
ONON came in above expectations (0.5415300000000001 vs 0.4046 expected). We said beat.
We said
WIX: we said beat (73% odds of a beat)
What happened
WIX came in above expectations (1.42 vs 1.4035 expected). We said beat.
We said
ATAT: we said beat (70% odds of a beat)
What happened
ATAT came in below expectations (3.2016479999999996 vs 4.2262 expected). We said beat.
We said
VG: we said beat (67% odds of a beat)
What happened
VG came in above expectations (0.56 vs 0.5095 expected). We said beat.
We said
BGS: we said beat (63% odds of a beat)
What happened
BGS came in below expectations (0.06 vs 0.0674 expected). We said beat.
We said
CTVA earnings on 2026-11-11: we leaned beat (71% odds of a beat)
What happened
Hasn't reported yet.
We said
NIO earnings on 2026-11-11: we leaned beat (65% odds of a beat)
What happened
Hasn't reported yet.
We said
AGBK earnings on 2026-11-11: we leaned beat (66% odds of a beat)
What happened
Hasn't reported yet.
We said
AMAT earnings on 2026-11-12: we leaned beat (74% odds of a beat)
What happened
Hasn't reported yet.
We said
CSCO earnings on 2026-11-12: we leaned beat (73% odds of a beat)
What happened
Hasn't reported yet.
We said
NU earnings on 2026-11-12: we leaned beat (73% odds of a beat)
What happened
Hasn't reported yet.
We said
STNE earnings on 2026-11-12: we leaned beat (70% odds of a beat)
What happened
Hasn't reported yet.
We said
INTR earnings on 2026-11-12: we leaned beat (69% odds of a beat)
What happened
Hasn't reported yet.
Scoring is deterministic and runs after every US market close. End-of-day prices from Yahoo Finance; earnings actuals from Finnhub. Free-text predictions (top-15, surprise, uncertain) are left for editorial review and not counted in the overall grade.