Technology Leads as S&P 500 Adds 0.4%

We said

SPX up 0.40% (58% odds it rises)

What happened

SPX rose 0.19%, closing at 7666.45. Right direction, off by 0.21 percentage points on size.

Result +0.20% @ 7666.45

We said

NDX up 0.60% (61% odds it rises)

What happened

NDX rose 0.31%, closing at 30501.56. Right direction, off by 0.29 percentage points on size.

Result +0.31% @ 30501.56

We said

DJI up 0.30% (56% odds it rises)

What happened

DJI rose 0.04%, closing at 50926.56. Right direction, off by 0.26 percentage points on size.

Result +0.04% @ 50926.56

We said

RUT up 0.20% (53% odds it rises)

What happened

RUT rose 0.35%, closing at 2806.63. Right direction, off by 0.15 percentage points on size.

Result +0.35% @ 2806.63

We said

VIX down 2.00% (44% odds it rises)

What happened

VIX rose 0.31%, closing at 16.39. We called the wrong direction.

Result +0.31% @ 16.39

We said

DXY up 0.05% (51% odds it rises)

What happened

DXY rose 0.56%, closing at 102.02. Right direction, off by 0.51 percentage points on size.

Result +0.56% @ 102.02

We said

US10Y up 0.50% (55% odds it rises)

What happened

US10Y fell 1.06%, closing at 5.24. We called the wrong direction.

Result -1.06% @ 5.24

We said

CL up 0.00% (50% odds it rises)

What happened

CL rose 2.78%, closing at 92.93. Right direction, off by 2.78 percentage points on size.

Result +2.78% @ 92.93

We said

GC down 0.30% (47% odds it rises)

What happened

GC rose 0.52%, closing at 4208.30. We called the wrong direction.

Result +0.52% @ 4208.30

We said

SI down 0.60% (44% odds it rises)

What happened

SI rose 2.15%, closing at 61.39. We called the wrong direction.

Result +2.15% @ 61.39

We said

BTC up 0.40% (54% odds it rises)

What happened

BTC rose 1.39%, closing at 84717.70. Right direction, off by 0.99 percentage points on size.

Result +1.39% @ 84717.70

We said

ETH up 0.50% (55% odds it rises)

What happened

ETH rose 0.58%, closing at 2699.22. Right direction, off by 0.08 percentage points on size.

Result +0.58% @ 2699.22

We said

NG down 0.10% (49% odds it rises)

What happened

NG fell 2.58%, closing at 2.95. Right direction, off by 2.48 percentage points on size.

Result -2.58% @ 2.95

We said

Buy ACN at 183.37, take profit 195.09, cut it at 174.36

What happened

ACN traded 211.04–227.58 and closed 212.30. The price never reached our 183.37 entry, so there was no trade to win or lose.

Result 0.00% @ 212.30

We said

Buy ORCL at 137.3, take profit 149.19, cut it at 128.15

What happened

ORCL traded 135.33–140.24 and closed 138.07. Neither the take-profit nor the exit was hit; holding to the close was a gain of +0.56%.

Result +0.56% @ 138.07

We said

Buy MSFT at 512.9, take profit 532.24, cut it at 498.03

What happened

MSFT traded 512.17–522.85 and closed 512.80. Neither the take-profit nor the exit was hit; holding to the close was a loss of -0.02%.

Result -0.02% @ 512.80

We said

Buy CRM at 229.57, take profit 243.05, cut it at 219.21

What happened

CRM traded 230.75–239.45 and closed 236.69. The price never reached our 229.57 entry, so there was no trade to win or lose.

Result 0.00% @ 236.69

We said

Buy ADBE at 239.94, take profit 254.29, cut it at 228.9

What happened

ADBE traded 237.79–248.30 and closed 241.28. Neither the take-profit nor the exit was hit; holding to the close was a gain of +0.56%.

Result +0.56% @ 241.28

We said

Buy IBM at 219.93, take profit 230.79, cut it at 211.57

What happened

IBM traded 224.50–234.27 and closed 225.62. The price never reached our 219.93 entry, so there was no trade to win or lose.

Result 0.00% @ 225.62

We said

Buy GOOGL at 344.08, take profit 358.57, cut it at 332.94

What happened

GOOGL traded 335.51–353.22 and closed 338.24. Neither the take-profit nor the exit was hit; holding to the close was a loss of -1.70%.

Result -1.70% @ 338.24

We said

Buy AMZN at 249.15, take profit 257.97, cut it at 242.36

What happened

AMZN traded 246.12–251.83 and closed 248.23. Neither the take-profit nor the exit was hit; holding to the close was a loss of -0.37%.

Result -0.37% @ 248.23

We said

Short NKE at 35.4, take profit 33.93, cut it at 36.53

What happened

NKE traded 35.02–36.24 and closed 35.15. Neither the take-profit nor the exit was hit; holding to the close was a gain of +0.71%.

Result +0.71% @ 35.15

We said

Short GC=F at 4188.9, take profit 4036.42, cut it at 4306.19

What happened

GC=F traded 4169.40–4222.80 and closed 4208.30. Neither the take-profit nor the exit was hit; holding to the close was a loss of -0.46%.

Result -0.46% @ 4208.30

We said

Accenture (ACN) will close up at least 3% today.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Nike (NKE) will close down at least 2% today.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Oracle (ORCL) will see increased trading volume and a positive price reaction.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

The Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK) will outperform the S&P 500 today.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Shares of Adobe (ADBE) will trade higher on positive analyst commentary.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Salesforce (CRM) shares will rise by at least 1%.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

IBM (IBM) will finish the session in positive territory.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

The Vanguard Information Technology ETF (VGT) will close up.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note (US10Y) will increase by 2 basis points or more.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Alphabet (GOOGL) Class A shares will close higher.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Amazon (AMZN) shares will see a gain of at least 0.5%.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Microsoft (MSFT) shares will trade up today.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

The price of Gold (GC) will fall below its 50-day moving average.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

The Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) will close higher.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Qualcomm (QCOM) shares will show upward momentum.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Accenture (ACN) will close up at least 3%.

What happened

We said ACN would be a winner. It closed +15.78% while the S&P 500 did +0.19%.

Result +15.78% @ 212.30

We said

Microsoft (MSFT) will close up by at least 0.8%.

What happened

We said MSFT would be a winner. It closed -0.02% while the S&P 500 did +0.19%.

Result -0.02% @ 512.80

We said

Oracle (ORCL) shares will trade up.

What happened

We said ORCL would be a winner. It closed +0.56% while the S&P 500 did +0.19%.

Result +0.56% @ 138.07

We said

Nike (NKE) will close down at least 2%.

What happened

We said NKE would be a loser. It closed -0.71% while the S&P 500 did +0.19%.

Result -0.71% @ 35.15

We said

Silver (SI) will fall by at least 1%.

What happened

We said SI would be a loser. It closed +2.15% while the S&P 500 did +0.19%.

Result +2.15% @ 61.39

We said

Nike (NKE) shares will move by more than 3% in either direction.

What happened

We said NKE would swing hard (3%+). It moved -0.71%.

Result -0.71% @ 35.15

We said

Accenture (ACN) shares will trade with a daily range exceeding 4%.

What happened

We said ACN would swing hard (3%+). It moved +15.78%.

Result +15.78% @ 212.30

We said

Applied Materials (AMAT) will announce a new partnership in advanced chip manufacturing.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

The Federal Reserve will hint at a slower pace of balance sheet reduction.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Earnings pushes the market up

What happened

The S&P 500 finished up +0.19%. That matched the call.

We said

Technology Sector pushes the market up

What happened

The S&P 500 finished up +0.19%. That matched the call.

We said

Treasuries pushes the market either way

What happened

The S&P 500 finished up +0.19%. The day was too flat to call this either way.

We said

Inflation pushes the market down

What happened

The S&P 500 finished up +0.19%. That went against the call.

We said

AI pushes the market up

What happened

The S&P 500 finished up +0.19%. That matched the call.

We said

Consumer pushes the market either way

What happened

The S&P 500 finished up +0.19%. The day was too flat to call this either way.

We said

China pushes the market either way

What happened

The S&P 500 finished up +0.19%. The day was too flat to call this either way.

We said

Fed pushes the market either way

What happened

The S&P 500 finished up +0.19%. The day was too flat to call this either way.

We said

Oil pushes the market either way

What happened

The S&P 500 finished up +0.19%. The day was too flat to call this either way.

We said

Employment pushes the market either way

What happened

The S&P 500 finished up +0.19%. The day was too flat to call this either way.

We said

ACN: we said beat (74% odds of a beat)

What happened

ACN came in above expectations (3.29 vs 3.2141 expected). We said beat.

We said

NKE: we said beat (56% odds of a beat)

What happened

NKE came in above expectations (0.48 vs 0.4364 expected). We said beat.

We said

AYI: we said beat (70% odds of a beat)

What happened

AYI came in above expectations (5.77 vs 5.6156 expected). We said beat.

We said

AEHR: we said beat (69% odds of a beat)

What happened

AEHR came in above expectations (0.11 vs -0.0077 expected). We said beat.

We said

JTBK earnings on 2026-10-01: we leaned beat (66% odds of a beat)

What happened

Results aren't posted yet, so this could not be judged.

We said

PKE: we said beat (66% odds of a beat)

What happened

PKE came in above expectations (0.17 vs 0.1404 expected). We said beat.

We said

BFK earnings on 2026-10-01: we leaned beat (64% odds of a beat)

What happened

Results aren't posted yet, so this could not be judged.

We said

BLE earnings on 2026-10-01: we leaned beat (64% odds of a beat)

What happened

Results aren't posted yet, so this could not be judged.

We said

BTT earnings on 2026-10-01: we leaned beat (64% odds of a beat)

What happened

Results aren't posted yet, so this could not be judged.

We said

MHD earnings on 2026-10-01: we leaned beat (64% odds of a beat)

What happened

Results aren't posted yet, so this could not be judged.

We said

MIY earnings on 2026-10-01: we leaned beat (64% odds of a beat)

What happened

Results aren't posted yet, so this could not be judged.

We said

MPA earnings on 2026-10-01: we leaned beat (64% odds of a beat)

What happened

Results aren't posted yet, so this could not be judged.

We said

MQT earnings on 2026-10-01: we leaned beat (64% odds of a beat)

What happened

Results aren't posted yet, so this could not be judged.

We said

SDHY earnings on 2026-10-01: we leaned beat (64% odds of a beat)

What happened

Results aren't posted yet, so this could not be judged.

We said

MDRX earnings on 2026-10-02: we leaned beat (66% odds of a beat)

What happened

Hasn't reported yet.

We said

BABB earnings on 2026-10-02: we leaned beat (64% odds of a beat)

What happened

Hasn't reported yet.