Broadcom Soars, S&P 500 Adds 0.4%

We said

SPX up 0.40% (57% odds it rises)

What happened

SPX rose 0.46%, closing at 7666.60. Right direction, off by 0.06 percentage points on size.

Result +0.46% @ 7666.60

We said

NDX up 0.70% (60% odds it rises)

What happened

NDX rose 0.23%, closing at 29143.33. Right direction, off by 0.47 percentage points on size.

Result +0.23% @ 29143.33

We said

DJI up 0.30% (55% odds it rises)

What happened

DJI rose 0.56%, closing at 53061.95. Right direction, off by 0.26 percentage points on size.

Result +0.56% @ 53061.95

We said

RUT up 0.20% (53% odds it rises)

What happened

RUT rose 1.13%, closing at 2953.17. Right direction, off by 0.93 percentage points on size.

Result +1.13% @ 2953.17

We said

VIX down 2.50% (41% odds it rises)

What happened

VIX fell 6.98%, closing at 15.20. Right direction, off by 4.48 percentage points on size.

Result -6.98% @ 15.20

We said

DXY down 0.10% (47% odds it rises)

What happened

DXY fell 0.12%, closing at 99.55. Right direction, off by 0.02 percentage points on size.

Result -0.12% @ 99.55

We said

US10Y down 0.50% (44% odds it rises)

What happened

US10Y rose 0.00%, closing at 4.80. We called the wrong direction.

Result 0.00% @ 4.80

We said

CL up 0.50% (51% odds it rises)

What happened

CL rose 0.53%, closing at 90.70. Right direction, off by 0.03 percentage points on size.

Result +0.53% @ 90.70

We said

GC up 0.70% (55% odds it rises)

What happened

GC rose 1.94%, closing at 4432.50. Right direction, off by 1.24 percentage points on size.

Result +1.94% @ 4432.50

We said

SI up 0.80% (54% odds it rises)

What happened

SI rose 1.97%, closing at 65.89. Right direction, off by 1.17 percentage points on size.

Result +1.97% @ 65.89

We said

BTC up 0.60% (54% odds it rises)

What happened

BTC rose 0.04%, closing at 77436.00. Right direction, off by 0.56 percentage points on size.

Result +0.04% @ 77436.00

We said

ETH up 0.80% (55% odds it rises)

What happened

ETH fell 0.98%, closing at 2394.20. We called the wrong direction.

Result -0.98% @ 2394.20

We said

NG down 0.40% (49% odds it rises)

What happened

NG rose 2.93%, closing at 2.99. We called the wrong direction.

Result +2.93% @ 2.99

We said

Buy AVGO at 371.25, take profit 391.63, cut it at 355.56

What happened

AVGO traded 364.65–371.09 and closed 367.24. Neither the take-profit nor the exit was hit; holding to the close was a loss of -1.08%.

Result -1.08% @ 367.24

We said

Buy NVDA at 217.49, take profit 228.34, cut it at 209.14

What happened

NVDA traded 218.48–227.95 and closed 224.41. The price never reached our 217.49 entry, so there was no trade to win or lose.

Result 0.00% @ 224.41

We said

Short SNOW at 319, take profit 299.25, cut it at 334.19

What happened

SNOW traded 303.89–319.19 and closed 305.84. Neither the take-profit nor the exit was hit; holding to the close was a gain of +4.13%.

Result +4.13% @ 305.84

We said

Buy NTAP at 184.84, take profit 195.93, cut it at 176.31

What happened

NTAP traded 180.02–189.21 and closed 180.77. Neither the take-profit nor the exit was hit; holding to the close was a loss of -2.20%.

Result -2.20% @ 180.77

We said

Buy HPE at 53.45, take profit 57.77, cut it at 50.13

What happened

HPE traded 49.80–52.47 and closed 51.83. It hit our 50.13 exit first — the trade lost -6.21%.

Result -6.21% @ 51.83

We said

Buy MRVL at 209.35, take profit 234.47, cut it at 188.89

What happened

MRVL traded 203.50–208.49 and closed 206.48. Neither the take-profit nor the exit was hit; holding to the close was a loss of -1.37%.

Result -1.37% @ 206.48

We said

Short FIVE at 246.12, take profit 231.28, cut it at 257.53

What happened

FIVE traded 237.82–246.54 and closed 243.08. Neither the take-profit nor the exit was hit; holding to the close was a gain of +1.24%.

Result +1.24% @ 243.08

We said

Buy AI at 10.32, take profit 11.12, cut it at 9.7

What happened

AI traded 10.26–10.81 and closed 10.52. Neither the take-profit nor the exit was hit; holding to the close was a gain of +1.94%.

Result +1.94% @ 10.52

We said

Short CHPT at 5.3, take profit 4.81, cut it at 5.67

What happened

CHPT traded 5.19–5.41 and closed 5.19. Neither the take-profit nor the exit was hit; holding to the close was a gain of +2.08%.

Result +2.08% @ 5.19

We said

Buy GOOGL at 335.3, take profit 345.39, cut it at 327.55

What happened

GOOGL traded 332.82–340.00 and closed 337.12. Neither the take-profit nor the exit was hit; holding to the close was a gain of +0.54%.

Result +0.54% @ 337.12

We said

Broadcom (AVGO) will close up at least 3.5%.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Snowflake (SNOW) will close down at least 2%.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

The Technology sector will be the top performing sector.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

The S&P 500 will close above its 50-day moving average.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

NetApp (NTAP) will close up at least 2.5%.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Five Below (FIVE) will trade down after reporting earnings.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) will close up at least 1.5%.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Gold Fields (GOLD) will see its stock price rise tomorrow.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Broadcom's (AVGO) AI revenue commentary will be positive.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

ChargePoint Holdings (CHPT) will see its stock price fall.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

The 10-year Treasury yield (US10Y) will fall below 4.05%.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

The VIX will close below 13.0.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

The S&P 500 will have a narrower range than its 14-day average true range of 0.7%.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Oracle (ORCL) will trade higher on AVGO's infrastructure comments.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Marvell Technology (MRVL) will trade higher on AVGO's networking comments.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Broadcom (AVGO) will close up at least 3.5% after earnings.

What happened

We said AVGO would be a winner. It closed -0.66% while the S&P 500 did +0.46%.

Result -0.66% @ 367.24

We said

Nvidia (NVDA) will trade higher by at least 1%.

What happened

We said NVDA would be a winner. It closed +3.21% while the S&P 500 did +0.46%.

Result +3.21% @ 224.41

We said

NetApp (NTAP) will close up by at least 2.5% after its earnings report.

What happened

We said NTAP would be a winner. It closed -1.30% while the S&P 500 did +0.46%.

Result -1.30% @ 180.77

We said

Snowflake (SNOW) will close down at least 2% following its earnings.

What happened

We said SNOW would be a loser. It closed -4.37% while the S&P 500 did +0.46%.

Result -4.37% @ 305.84

We said

Five Below (FIVE) will close down at least 3% after its earnings report.

What happened

We said FIVE would be a loser. It closed -0.82% while the S&P 500 did +0.46%.

Result -0.82% @ 243.08

We said

ChargePoint Holdings (CHPT) will close down by at least 4% after earnings.

What happened

We said CHPT would be a loser. It closed -2.08% while the S&P 500 did +0.46%.

Result -2.08% @ 5.19

We said

Broadcom (AVGO) will move more than ±3.0% after earnings.

What happened

We said AVGO would swing hard (3%+). It moved -0.66%.

Result -0.66% @ 367.24

We said

Snowflake (SNOW) will move more than ±4.0% after earnings.

What happened

We said SNOW would swing hard (3%+). It moved -4.37%.

Result -4.37% @ 305.84

We said

Five Below (FIVE) will move more than ±5.0% after earnings.

What happened

We said FIVE would swing hard (3%+). It moved -0.82%.

Result -0.82% @ 243.08

We said

Broadcom (AVGO) will announce a significant new AI-related partnership.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Snowflake (SNOW) will guide to an unexpected acceleration in enterprise consumption growth.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) will announce a major AI server order.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

VFS will provide clearer guidance on its electric vehicle production targets.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

The overall market reaction to after-hours tech earnings will be mixed.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Natural Gas (NG) will see a delayed reaction to storage data.

What happened

Written call — not scored automatically.

We said

Earnings Reports (AVGO, SNOW, NTAP) pushes the market up

What happened

The S&P 500 finished up +0.46%. That matched the call.

We said

Enterprise IT Spending pushes the market up

What happened

The S&P 500 finished up +0.46%. That matched the call.

We said

AI Investment Cycle pushes the market up

What happened

The S&P 500 finished up +0.46%. That matched the call.

We said

Consumer Spending pushes the market down

What happened

The S&P 500 finished up +0.46%. That went against the call.

We said

Interest Rates / US10Y pushes the market down

What happened

The S&P 500 finished up +0.46%. That went against the call.

We said

VIX pushes the market down

What happened

The S&P 500 finished up +0.46%. That went against the call.

We said

EIA Natural Gas Storage pushes the market either way

What happened

The S&P 500 finished up +0.46%. The day was too flat to call this either way.

We said

Dollar (DXY) pushes the market down

What happened

The S&P 500 finished up +0.46%. That went against the call.

We said

Commodity Prices (Gold, Silver) pushes the market up

What happened

The S&P 500 finished up +0.46%. That matched the call.

We said

Cryptocurrencies (BTC, ETH) pushes the market up

What happened

The S&P 500 finished up +0.46%. That matched the call.

We said

AVGO: we said beat (74% odds of a beat)

What happened

AVGO came in in line with expectations (2.44 vs 2.4458 expected). We said beat.

We said

SNOW: we said beat (54% odds of a beat)

What happened

SNOW came in above expectations (0.39 vs 0.3246 expected). We said beat.

We said

HPE: we said beat (69% odds of a beat)

What happened

HPE came in above expectations (0.79 vs 0.5396 expected). We said beat.

We said

NTAP: we said beat (71% odds of a beat)

What happened

NTAP came in above expectations (2.43 vs 2.3122 expected). We said beat.

We said

FIVE: we said beat (56% odds of a beat)

What happened

FIVE came in above expectations (1.68 vs 1.4064 expected). We said beat.

We said

VFS: we said beat (59% odds of a beat)

What happened

VFS came in below expectations (-0.48 vs -0.3131 expected). We said beat.

We said

CHPT: we said beat (51% odds of a beat)

What happened

CHPT came in above expectations (-0.74 vs -1.0353 expected). We said beat.

We said

AI: we said beat (64% odds of a beat)

What happened

AI came in above expectations (-0.33 vs -0.384 expected). We said beat.

We said

GOLD: we said beat (66% odds of a beat)

What happened

GOLD came in above expectations (2.09 vs 1.298 expected). We said beat.

We said

WOOF: we said beat (61% odds of a beat)

What happened

WOOF came in above expectations (0.03 vs 0.017 expected). We said beat.

We said

LULU earnings on 2026-09-03: we leaned beat (71% odds of a beat)

What happened

Hasn't reported yet.

We said

CIEN earnings on 2026-09-03: we leaned beat (66% odds of a beat)

What happened

Hasn't reported yet.

We said

CPB earnings on 2026-09-03: we leaned beat (64% odds of a beat)

What happened

Hasn't reported yet.

We said

MOMO earnings on 2026-09-03: we leaned beat (61% odds of a beat)

What happened

Hasn't reported yet.

We said

TTC earnings on 2026-09-03: we leaned beat (66% odds of a beat)

What happened

Hasn't reported yet.

We said

VSXY earnings on 2026-09-03: we leaned beat (56% odds of a beat)

What happened

Hasn't reported yet.

We said

ZGN earnings on 2026-09-03: we leaned beat (59% odds of a beat)

What happened

Hasn't reported yet.