The Report Card · Thursday, August 6, 2026
A Narrowing Path for Earnings Growth
Thursday's pre-market earnings reports will reinforce the trend of divergent corporate performance, favoring resilient growth sectors while exposing weakness in industrials and consumer discretionary.
Accuracy
41%
Correct
27/66
Brier score
0.253
lower is better
We got 27 of 66 calls right on Thursday, August 6, 2026.
By Category
9/13
69% accuracy
2/7
29% accuracy
10/25
40% accuracy
5/6
83% accuracy
1/15
7% accuracy
Forecasts — what we said vs. what happened
We said
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What happened
Predicted -0.70%, actual -0.18%.
Result -0.18% @ 7709.96
We said
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What happened
Predicted -0.50%, actual -0.39%.
Result -0.39% @ 29373.33
We said
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What happened
Predicted -0.80%, actual -0.85%.
Result -0.85% @ 53885.10
We said
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What happened
Predicted -1.20%, actual -0.58%.
Result -0.58% @ 3001.55
We said
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What happened
Predicted +3.00%, actual -4.17%.
Result -4.17% @ 15.15
We said
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What happened
Predicted +0.20%, actual +0.29%.
Result +0.29% @ 99.98
We said
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What happened
Predicted -0.01%, actual +1.15%.
Result +1.15% @ 4.67
We said
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What happened
Predicted -1.50%, actual +3.56%.
Result +3.56% @ 77.90
We said
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What happened
Predicted +0.60%, actual +1.31%.
Result +1.31% @ 4301.50
We said
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What happened
Predicted +0.80%, actual -0.39%.
Result -0.39% @ 61.85
We said
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What happened
Predicted -1.80%, actual -0.28%.
Result -0.28% @ 64419.04
We said
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What happened
Predicted -2.20%, actual -0.02%.
Result -0.02% @ 1906.09
We said
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What happened
Predicted -1.00%, actual -1.93%.
Result -1.94% @ 2.64
Trades — what we said vs. what happened
We said
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What happened
Stop 1007.58 hit — -1.07%.
Result -1.07% @ 1069.80
We said
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What happened
Closed 184.76 for +0.85%.
Result +0.85% @ 184.76
We said
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What happened
Limit at 93.26 not filled (day range 74.57–78.33).
Result 0.00% @ 77.90
We said
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What happened
Closed 118.10 for +0.46%.
Result +0.46% @ 118.10
We said
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What happened
Stop 31.28 hit — -1.07%.
Result -1.07% @ 30.37
We said
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What happened
Stop 187.84 hit — -0.40%.
Result -0.40% @ 187.64
We said
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What happened
Stop 26.46 hit — -1.89%.
Result -1.89% @ 26.40
We said
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What happened
Stop 43.52 hit — -0.32%.
Result -0.32% @ 43.38
Predictions — what we said vs. what happened
We said
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What happened
Unscored — text prediction (resolve manually).
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We said
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What happened
ETF closed 0.00%.
Result 0.00%
We said
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What happened
JNJ closed -0.24%.
Result -0.24% @ 256.98
We said
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What happened
ED closed +0.58%.
Result +0.58% @ 108.95
We said
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What happened
GS closed -2.62%.
Result -2.62% @ 1032.58
We said
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What happened
MRK closed +0.03%.
Result +0.03% @ 128.37
We said
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What happened
SO closed -0.21%.
Result -0.21% @ 92.90
We said
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What happened
NEE closed -1.52%.
Result -1.52% @ 84.60
We said
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What happened
RTX closed +0.42%.
Result +0.42% @ 223.25
We said
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What happened
WM closed +2.10%.
Result +2.10% @ 229.01
We said
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What happened
MO closed -1.01%.
Result -1.01% @ 67.75
We said
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What happened
PH closed +7.31%.
Result +7.31% @ 1069.80
We said
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What happened
COP closed +1.50%.
Result +1.50% @ 116.76
We said
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What happened
WBD closed +1.66%.
Result +1.66% @ 26.40
We said
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What happened
KDP closed -1.24%.
Result -1.24% @ 30.37
We said
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What happened
US closed 0.00%.
Result 0.00%
We said
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What happened
FISV closed 0.00%.
Result 0.00% @ 54.11
We said
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What happened
LNG closed +4.32%.
Result +4.32% @ 265.77
We said
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What happened
ARW closed -2.01%.
Result -2.01% @ 222.29
We said
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What happened
PLNT closed -9.51%.
Result -9.51% @ 51.21
We said
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What happened
TWLO closed -0.01%.
Result -0.01% @ 193.20
We said
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What happened
PLNT closed -9.51%.
Result -9.51% @ 51.21
We said
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What happened
WBD closed +1.66%.
Result +1.66% @ 26.40
We said
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What happened
COP closed +1.50%.
Result +1.50% @ 116.76
We said
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What happened
FISV closed 0.00%.
Result 0.00% @ 54.11
We said
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What happened
LNG closed +4.32%.
Result +4.32% @ 265.77
We said
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What happened
Unscored — text prediction (resolve manually).
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What happened
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What happened
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What happened
Unscored — text prediction (resolve manually).
Drivers — what we said vs. what happened
We said
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What happened
Called bearish; SPX down (-0.18%).
We said
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What happened
Called bearish; SPX down (-0.18%).
We said
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What happened
Called bearish; SPX down (-0.18%).
We said
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What happened
Called mixed; SPX down (-0.18%).
We said
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What happened
Called bearish; SPX down (-0.18%).
We said
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What happened
Called bearish; SPX down (-0.18%).
We said
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What happened
Called mixed; SPX down (-0.18%).
We said
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What happened
Called bullish; SPX down (-0.18%).
We said
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What happened
Called mixed; SPX down (-0.18%).
We said
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What happened
Called mixed; SPX down (-0.18%).
Earnings — what we said vs. what happened
We said
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What happened
Called inline (40% beat); actual beat (EPS 3.24 vs est 2.9112).
We said
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What happened
Called inline (35% beat); actual beat (EPS 9.27 vs est 8.5185).
We said
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What happened
Called inline (40% beat); actual beat (EPS 0.06 vs est -0.1259).
We said
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What happened
Called inline (55% beat); actual beat (EPS 2.55 vs est 2.4459).
We said
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What happened
Called inline (45% beat); actual miss (EPS 1.84 vs est 1.9486).
We said
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What happened
Called miss (40% beat); actual beat (EPS 0.57 vs est 0.5426).
We said
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What happened
Called inline (45% beat); actual miss (EPS 3.02 vs est 3.0695).
We said
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What happened
Called inline (40% beat); actual beat (EPS 1.44 vs est 1.3906).
We said
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What happened
Called inline (50% beat); actual beat (EPS 2.11 vs est 1.9164).
We said
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What happened
Called inline (40% beat); actual beat (EPS 5.22 vs est 2.881).
We said
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What happened
Called inline (40% beat); actual beat (EPS 0.88 vs est 0.8632).
We said
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What happened
Called inline (50% beat); actual beat (EPS 1.37 vs est 1.2769).
We said
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What happened
Called inline (45% beat); actual miss (EPS 0.04 vs est 0.0616).
We said
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What happened
Called inline (50% beat); actual miss (EPS 0.39 vs est 0.4109).
We said
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What happened
Called beat (55% beat); actual beat (EPS 6.97 vs est 6.1049).
We said
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What happened
Not yet reported.
We said
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What happened
Not yet reported.
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What happened
Not yet reported.
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What happened
Not yet reported.
Scoring is deterministic and runs after every US market close. End-of-day prices from Yahoo Finance; earnings actuals from Finnhub. Free-text predictions (top-15, surprise, uncertain) are left for editorial review and not counted in the overall grade.